Fig.2-5 Proposed approach to uncertainty and sensitivity analyses for severe accident source terms

Fig.2-5 Proposed approach to uncertainty and sensitivity analyses for severe accident source terms

The proposed approach comprises four steps: I. Select the input factors that considerably affect the evaluation of source terms; II. Randomly sample the inputs based on presumed distributions; III. Iteratively execute the SA code until the uncertainty distribution becomes stable; IV. Perform a sensitivity analysis to rank the importance of the inputs. A surrogate statistical model is employed instead of the SA code to avoid unaffordable computational cost during the sensitivity analysis.

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